Final Score: Heat 87 - Thunder 103
Sunday, March 25, 2012 at 7:00 PM ET

Heat @ Thunder

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Heat
35-11 Rating 1855
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Oklahoma City Thunder +2.6
Thunder
36-12 Rating 1777
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Heat Thunder
All-time wins 17 29
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 95.2 101.0
Last meeting 85 96

Key Season Stats

Stat Heat Thunder
Games played 46 48
Avg points scored 101.5 103.6
Avg points conceded 93.2 97.4
Win percentage 76% 75%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 84%