Final Score: Celtics 90 - Heat 99
Sunday, May 1, 2011 at 7:00 PM ET

Celtics @ Heat

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Celtics
60-26 Rating 1719
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
30%
70%
Projected margin: Miami Heat +6.1
Heat
62-25 Rating 1798
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Celtics Heat
All-time wins 59 37
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average points 98.4 97.2
Last meeting 77 100

Key Season Stats

Stat Celtics Heat
Games played 86 87
Avg points scored 96.6 101.6
Avg points conceded 91.1 94.1
Win percentage 70% 71%
Away win % / Home win % 58% 75%