Final Score: Mavericks 98 - Heat 96
Monday, December 20, 2010 at 7:00 PM ET

Mavericks @ Heat

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mavericks
21-5 Rating 1785
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Miami Heat +3.8
Heat
21-8 Rating 1772
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mavericks Heat
All-time wins 30 24
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average points 98.7 98.2
Last meeting 106 95

Key Season Stats

Stat Mavericks Heat
Games played 26 29
Avg points scored 99.2 101.0
Avg points conceded 93.2 91.2
Win percentage 81% 72%
Away win % / Home win % 89% 80%