Final Score: Heat 64 - Hawks 90
Sunday, April 19, 2009 at 7:00 PM ET

Heat @ Hawks

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Heat
43-39 Rating 1518
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
32%
68%
Projected margin: Atlanta Hawks +5.3
Hawks
47-35 Rating 1577
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Heat Hawks
All-time wins 44 40
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 96.2 94.8
Last meeting 79 81

Key Season Stats

Stat Heat Hawks
Games played 82 82
Avg points scored 98.3 98.1
Avg points conceded 98.0 96.5
Win percentage 52% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 37% 76%