Final Score: Spurs 102 - Mavericks 107
Wednesday, March 4, 2009 at 7:00 PM ET

Spurs @ Mavericks

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Spurs
40-19 Rating 1735
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Dallas Mavericks +0.5
Mavericks
36-24 Rating 1589
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Spurs Mavericks
All-time wins 93 64
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average points 104.1 101.5
Last meeting 93 76

Key Season Stats

Stat Spurs Mavericks
Games played 59 60
Avg points scored 97.3 100.9
Avg points conceded 93.5 99.3
Win percentage 68% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 65% 73%