Final Score: Mavericks 99 - Heat 93
Sunday, January 21, 2007 at 7:00 PM ET

Mavericks @ Heat

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mavericks
33-8 Rating 1886
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
75%
25%
Projected margin: Dallas Mavericks +4.8
Heat
18-21 Rating 1504
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mavericks Heat
All-time wins 21 24
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average points 98.0 99.5
Last meeting 92 95

Key Season Stats

Stat Mavericks Heat
Games played 41 39
Avg points scored 99.8 95.6
Avg points conceded 92.6 99.7
Win percentage 80% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 74% 50%