Final Score: Pirates 4 - Padres 6
Sunday, June 1, 2025 at 5:10 PM ET

Pirates @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
22-37 Rating 1455
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +1.2
Padres
32-24 Rating 1544
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Padres
All-time wins 275 244
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.4 4.1
Last meeting 5 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Padres
Games played 59 56
Avg runs scored 3.2 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.0
Win percentage 37% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 30% 66%