Final Score: Royals 11 - Orioles 6
Sunday, May 4, 2025 at 1:35 PM ET

Royals @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Royals
18-16 Rating 1488
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Baltimore Orioles +0.5
Orioles
13-19 Rating 1515
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Royals Orioles
All-time wins 236 294
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.6
Last meeting 4 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Royals Orioles
Games played 34 32
Avg runs scored 3.2 3.8
Avg runs conceded 3.3 5.4
Win percentage 53% 41%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 50%