Final Score: Padres 2 - Pirates 1
Saturday, May 3, 2025 at 4:05 PM ET

Padres @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
20-11 Rating 1554
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
58%
42%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.8
Pirates
12-21 Rating 1457
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Pirates
All-time wins 241 274
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.1 4.4
Last meeting 9 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Pirates
Games played 31 33
Avg runs scored 4.1 3.4
Avg runs conceded 3.0 4.7
Win percentage 65% 36%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 41%