Final Score: Cubs 4 - Padres 10
Monday, April 14, 2025 at 9:40 PM ET

Cubs @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
11-7 Rating 1514
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.7
Padres
13-3 Rating 1559
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Padres
All-time wins 286 240
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.0
Last meeting 7 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Padres
Games played 18 16
Avg runs scored 6.4 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.1 2.7
Win percentage 61% 81%
Away win % / Home win % 70% 100%