Final Score: Pirates 3 - Reds 5
Friday, April 11, 2025 at 6:40 PM ET

Pirates @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
5-8 Rating 1466
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.4
Reds
5-8 Rating 1478
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Reds
All-time wins 383 426
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.5
Last meeting 2 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Reds
Games played 13 13
Avg runs scored 3.5 3.7
Avg runs conceded 4.9 3.5
Win percentage 38% 38%
Away win % / Home win % 29% 33%