Final Score: Phillies 3 - Rays 1
Tuesday, July 4, 2023 at 4:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
44-39 Rating 1525
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.7
Rays
57-30 Rating 1566
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Rays
All-time wins 16 23
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 4.4 4.6
Last meeting 4 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Rays
Games played 83 87
Avg runs scored 4.5 5.6
Avg runs conceded 4.5 3.8
Win percentage 53% 66%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 77%