Final Score: Phillies 3 - Astros 4
Sunday, April 30, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
15-13 Rating 1522
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.9
Astros
14-13 Rating 1590
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Astros
All-time wins 218 244
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.1 4.2
Last meeting 6 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Astros
Games played 28 27
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.5 3.8
Win percentage 54% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 40%