Final Score: Astros 4 - Pirates 7
Tuesday, April 11, 2023 at 6:35 PM ET

Astros @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
5-6 Rating 1591
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
65%
35%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +1.5
Pirates
6-4 Rating 1430
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Pirates
All-time wins 302 282
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.1
Last meeting 8 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Pirates
Games played 11 10
Avg runs scored 5.0 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.9
Win percentage 45% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 50%