Final Score: Phillies 2 - Cubs 4
Wednesday, September 28, 2022 at 7:40 PM ET

Phillies @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
83-70 Rating 1512
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.2
Cubs
68-86 Rating 1467
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Cubs
All-time wins 333 301
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.7 4.5
Last meeting 1 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Cubs
Games played 153 154
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.7
Win percentage 54% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 42%