Final Score: Astros 2 - Padres 10
Saturday, September 4, 2021 at 8:40 PM ET

Astros @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
79-55 Rating 1570
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.5
Padres
72-64 Rating 1496
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Padres
All-time wins 317 291
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.0 3.9
Last meeting 6 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Padres
Games played 134 136
Avg runs scored 5.3 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.1
Win percentage 59% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 58%