Final Score: Phillies 3 - Padres 4
Saturday, August 21, 2021 at 8:40 PM ET

Phillies @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
62-60 Rating 1495
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.3
Padres
68-57 Rating 1501
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Padres
All-time wins 274 219
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.1
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Padres
Games played 122 125
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.7
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.0
Win percentage 51% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 43% 62%