Final Score: Pirates 3 - Padres 4
Thursday, May 16, 2019 at 10:10 PM ET

Pirates @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
21-19 Rating 1502
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +0.3
Padres
22-21 Rating 1456
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Padres
All-time wins 258 224
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.1
Last meeting 7 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Padres
Games played 40 43
Avg runs scored 3.7 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.9 4.2
Win percentage 52% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 48%