Final Score: Padres 4 - Pirates 5
Thursday, May 17, 2018 at 7:05 PM ET

Padres @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
17-27 Rating 1446
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +0.8
Pirates
25-17 Rating 1501
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Pirates
All-time wins 220 255
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.1 4.4
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Pirates
Games played 44 42
Avg runs scored 3.7 5.0
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.3
Win percentage 39% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 70%