Final Score: Phillies 4 - Cubs 5
Thursday, May 4, 2017 at 2:20 PM ET

Phillies @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
12-14 Rating 1450
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
33%
67%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +1.4
Cubs
15-12 Rating 1567
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Cubs
All-time wins 319 287
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.7 4.5
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Cubs
Games played 26 27
Avg runs scored 4.7 5.1
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.5
Win percentage 46% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 50%