Final Score: Phillies 6 - Padres 5
Sunday, August 7, 2016 at 4:40 PM ET

Phillies @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
51-61 Rating 1448
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.4
Padres
48-62 Rating 1460
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Padres
All-time wins 263 207
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.1
Last meeting 7 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Padres
Games played 112 110
Avg runs scored 3.7 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.8
Win percentage 46% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 48%