Final Score: Pirates 11 - Padres 1
Thursday, April 21, 2016 at 9:10 PM ET

Pirates @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
7-8 Rating 1545
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +0.6
Padres
6-9 Rating 1463
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Padres
All-time wins 249 216
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.1
Last meeting 2 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Padres
Games played 15 15
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.7
Win percentage 47% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 29% 38%