Final Score: Phillies 4 - Padres 3
Friday, August 7, 2015 at 10:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
42-67 Rating 1449
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.5
Padres
52-57 Rating 1482
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Padres
All-time wins 254 204
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.1
Last meeting 3 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Padres
Games played 109 109
Avg runs scored 3.7 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.9 4.4
Win percentage 39% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 28% 49%