Final Score: Phillies 3 - Padres 7
Thursday, September 18, 2014 at 9:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
70-82 Rating 1477
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.2
Padres
70-81 Rating 1475
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Padres
All-time wins 254 203
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.1
Last meeting 5 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Padres
Games played 152 151
Avg runs scored 3.9 3.2
Avg runs conceded 4.3 3.6
Win percentage 46% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 57%