Final Score: Phillies 5 - Braves 4
Saturday, September 28, 2013 at 7:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Braves

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
72-88 Rating 1484
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +0.9
Braves
95-65 Rating 1552
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Braves
All-time wins 298 327
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.3 4.6
Last meeting 0 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Braves
Games played 160 160
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.6 3.4
Win percentage 45% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 37% 70%