Final Score: Phillies 6 - Pirates 4
Thursday, July 4, 2013 at 1:35 PM ET

Phillies @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
40-45 Rating 1508
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +0.2
Pirates
52-31 Rating 1504
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Pirates
All-time wins 283 302
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.4 4.5
Last meeting 5 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Pirates
Games played 85 83
Avg runs scored 3.9 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.4 3.4
Win percentage 47% 63%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 67%