Final Score: Rays 7 - Astros 5
Thursday, July 4, 2013 at 2:10 PM ET

Rays @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rays
45-40 Rating 1545
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
64%
36%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +1.2
Astros
31-54 Rating 1398
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rays Astros
All-time wins 8 7
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 5.6 3.7
Last meeting 1 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Rays Astros
Games played 85 85
Avg runs scored 4.7 3.7
Avg runs conceded 4.3 5.2
Win percentage 53% 36%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 35%