Final Score: Astros 4 - Cubs 5
Wednesday, October 3, 2012 at 2:20 PM ET

Astros @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
55-106 Rating 1390
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.5
Cubs
60-101 Rating 1421
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Cubs
All-time wins 308 270
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.3
Last meeting 3 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Cubs
Games played 161 161
Avg runs scored 3.6 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.9 4.7
Win percentage 34% 37%
Away win % / Home win % 25% 46%