Final Score: Astros 2 - Cubs 7
Wednesday, August 15, 2012 at 2:20 PM ET

Astros @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
39-79 Rating 1389
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.8
Cubs
45-70 Rating 1443
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Cubs
All-time wins 305 267
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.5 4.3
Last meeting 10 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Cubs
Games played 118 115
Avg runs scored 3.8 3.7
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.5
Win percentage 33% 39%
Away win % / Home win % 20% 51%