Final Score: Padres 11 - Reds 5
Monday, July 30, 2012 at 7:10 PM ET

Padres @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
43-60 Rating 1458
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.9
Reds
61-40 Rating 1525
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Reds
All-time wins 263 319
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.0 4.5
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Reds
Games played 103 101
Avg runs scored 3.7 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.3 3.6
Win percentage 42% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 63%