Final Score: Orioles 6 - Red Sox 5
Monday, September 19, 2011 at 1:05 PM ET

Orioles @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Orioles
62-89 Rating 1451
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
34%
66%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +1.3
Red Sox
87-65 Rating 1557
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Orioles Red Sox
All-time wins 274 360
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.4 5.0
Last meeting 0 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Orioles Red Sox
Games played 151 152
Avg runs scored 4.3 5.4
Avg runs conceded 5.2 4.4
Win percentage 41% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 34% 57%