Final Score: Astros 4 - Cubs 3
Wednesday, July 21, 2010 at 2:20 PM ET

Astros @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
38-56 Rating 1458
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.5
Cubs
43-52 Rating 1486
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Cubs
All-time wins 288 251
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.4
Last meeting 7 14

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Cubs
Games played 94 95
Avg runs scored 3.6 4.3
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.6
Win percentage 40% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 49%