Final Score: Cardinals 4 - Cubs 2
Sunday, July 12, 2009 at 8:05 PM ET

Cardinals @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cardinals
48-42 Rating 1508
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.3
Cubs
43-42 Rating 1514
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cardinals Cubs
All-time wins 334 334
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 3 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Cardinals Cubs
Games played 90 85
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.1
Win percentage 53% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 61%