Final Score: Cardinals 3 - Cubs 7
Sunday, July 12, 2009 at 1:05 PM ET

Cardinals @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cardinals
48-41 Rating 1509
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.3
Cubs
42-42 Rating 1512
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cardinals Cubs
All-time wins 334 333
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 2 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Cardinals Cubs
Games played 89 84
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.1
Win percentage 54% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 60%