Final Score: Pirates 1 - Astros 9
Friday, June 5, 2009 at 8:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
25-28 Rating 1442
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.8
Astros
23-30 Rating 1491
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Astros
All-time wins 247 268
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.1 4.4
Last meeting 1 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Astros
Games played 53 53
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.9
Win percentage 47% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 37% 43%