Final Score: Braves 1 - Astros 3
Sunday, September 28, 2008 at 2:05 PM ET

Braves @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Braves
72-89 Rating 1476
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.5
Astros
85-75 Rating 1508
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Braves Astros
All-time wins 294 274
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.1
Last meeting 11 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Braves Astros
Games played 161 160
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.6
Win percentage 45% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 36% 58%