Final Score: Phillies 4 - Cubs 1
Monday, July 30, 2007 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
55-49 Rating 1528
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.2
Cubs
55-48 Rating 1490
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Cubs
All-time wins 284 258
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.7 4.5
Last meeting 1 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Cubs
Games played 104 103
Avg runs scored 5.5 4.7
Avg runs conceded 5.1 4.1
Win percentage 53% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 53%