Final Score: Reds 7 - Phillies 8
Thursday, June 28, 2007 at 7:05 PM ET

Reds @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
30-48 Rating 1452
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.0
Phillies
40-37 Rating 1525
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Phillies
All-time wins 236 173
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.6 4.3
Last meeting 9 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Phillies
Games played 78 77
Avg runs scored 4.6 5.2
Avg runs conceded 5.2 5.2
Win percentage 38% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 53%