Final Score: Reds 2 - Padres 3
Wednesday, May 16, 2007 at 10:05 PM ET

Reds @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
16-24 Rating 1463
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.8
Padres
21-19 Rating 1510
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Padres
All-time wins 304 244
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 3.9
Last meeting 2 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Padres
Games played 40 40
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.7 3.5
Win percentage 40% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 58%