Final Score: Pirates 6 - Cubs 5
Tuesday, September 5, 2006 at 8:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
55-83 Rating 1438
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.5
Cubs
55-82 Rating 1462
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Cubs
All-time wins 342 279
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.8 4.2
Last meeting 5 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Cubs
Games played 138 137
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.3
Avg runs conceded 5.1 5.2
Win percentage 40% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 28% 42%