Final Score: Astros 1 - Cubs 4
Thursday, July 20, 2006 at 2:20 PM ET

Astros @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
46-49 Rating 1516
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.3
Cubs
36-57 Rating 1470
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Cubs
All-time wins 261 217
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.7 4.4
Last meeting 4 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Cubs
Games played 95 93
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.8 5.1
Win percentage 48% 39%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 36%