Final Score: Padres 5 - Phillies 3
Thursday, July 6, 2006 at 7:05 PM ET

Padres @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
44-40 Rating 1499
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.3
Phillies
38-45 Rating 1507
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Phillies
All-time wins 183 216
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 6 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Phillies
Games played 84 83
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.8
Avg runs conceded 4.2 5.3
Win percentage 52% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 57% 44%