Final Score: Cubs 2 - Astros 7
Tuesday, July 4, 2006 at 2:05 PM ET

Cubs @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
30-52 Rating 1465
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.8
Astros
41-42 Rating 1521
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Astros
All-time wins 215 259
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 4.4 4.7
Last meeting 2 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Astros
Games played 82 83
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.6
Avg runs conceded 5.3 4.9
Win percentage 37% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 37% 59%