Final Score: Astros 4 - Cubs 5
Friday, September 23, 2005 at 3:20 PM ET

Astros @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
84-69-1 Rating 1544
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.2
Cubs
75-78 Rating 1506
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Cubs
All-time wins 250 210
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.7 4.4
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Cubs
Games played 154 153
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.4
Avg runs conceded 3.8 4.4
Win percentage 55% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 43% 47%