Final Score: Pirates 3 - Reds 5
Sunday, September 11, 2005 at 1:15 PM ET

Pirates @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
57-84 Rating 1438
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.5
Reds
65-76-1 Rating 1469
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Reds
All-time wins 223 259
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.4 4.5
Last meeting 2 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Reds
Games played 141 142
Avg runs scored 4.2 5.0
Avg runs conceded 4.8 5.4
Win percentage 40% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 51%