Final Score: Cubs 5 - Reds 1
Sunday, September 19, 2004 at 1:15 PM ET

Cubs @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
81-65 Rating 1524
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.5
Reds
68-80 Rating 1451
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Reds
All-time wins 209 230
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.5 4.6
Last meeting 5 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Reds
Games played 146 148
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.1 5.7
Win percentage 55% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 51%