Final Score: Astros 2 - Pirates 5
Saturday, September 11, 2004 at 1:35 PM ET

Astros @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
77-65 Rating 1525
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.4
Pirates
65-76 Rating 1466
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Pirates
All-time wins 228 216
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.1
Last meeting 1 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Pirates
Games played 142 141
Avg runs scored 5.0 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.6
Win percentage 54% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 51%