Final Score: Phillies 4 - Cubs 3
Saturday, July 31, 2004 at 1:20 PM ET

Phillies @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
52-51 Rating 1507
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.4
Cubs
56-47 Rating 1517
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Cubs
All-time wins 272 252
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.7 4.5
Last meeting 7 10

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Cubs
Games played 103 103
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.7
Avg runs conceded 4.9 3.9
Win percentage 50% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 60%