Final Score: Astros 3 - Padres 5
Tuesday, July 6, 2004 at 10:05 PM ET

Astros @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
42-40 Rating 1511
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.1
Padres
45-37 Rating 1482
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Padres
All-time wins 280 254
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.0 3.9
Last meeting 1 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Padres
Games played 82 82
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.1
Win percentage 51% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 59%