Final Score: Phillies 4 - Padres 5
Friday, May 2, 2003 at 10:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
17-12 Rating 1507
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.3
Padres
10-18 Rating 1454
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Padres
All-time wins 200 178
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.4 4.3
Last meeting 4 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Padres
Games played 29 28
Avg runs scored 5.2 3.9
Avg runs conceded 3.7 5.1
Win percentage 59% 36%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 38%